Carrier Global (Germany) Performance

4PN Stock  EUR 49.00  5.21  9.61%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Carrier Global returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Carrier Global is expected to follow. Carrier Global right now shows a risk of 2.5%. Please confirm Carrier Global treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Carrier Global will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Carrier Global has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Carrier Global is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0151
Payout Ratio
0.5406
Forward Dividend Rate
0.82
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-20
1
Is Carrier Global Stock Underperforming the SP 500 - Barchart.com
12/01/2025
2
Carrier Global Sees Price Target Reduction by Mizuho CA - GuruFocus
01/05/2026
3
How Carriers CCG Automation Deal Shapes Its Intelligent Buildings Strategy and Earnings Quality - simplywall.st
01/12/2026
4
Wolfe Research Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Carrier Global Stock Price - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
5
QRG Capital Management Inc. Sells 48,232 Shares of Carrier Global Corporation CARR - MarketBeat
01/19/2026
6
CARR Stock Price, Forecast Analysis CARRIER GLOBAL CORP - Chartmill
01/23/2026
7
Is Slowing HVAC Demand And Portfolio Reshaping Altering The Investment Case For Carrier Global - simplywall.st
01/28/2026
8
Carrier Stock Drops. AI Wasnt Enough to Save Earnings. - Barrons
02/05/2026
  

Carrier Global Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,987  in Carrier Global on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (87.00) from holding Carrier Global or give up 1.74% of portfolio value over 90 days. Carrier Global is currently producing 0.001% returns and takes up 2.4978% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 22% of traded stocks are less volatile than Carrier, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Carrier Global is expected to generate 56.2 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Carrier Global Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Carrier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 49.00 90 days 49.00 
about 19.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carrier Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.53 (This Carrier Global probability density function shows the probability of Carrier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This suggests Carrier Global market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Carrier Global is expected to follow. Additionally Carrier Global has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Carrier Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carrier Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carrier Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0754.2556.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.3551.5359.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.7953.9756.15
Details

Carrier Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carrier Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carrier Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carrier Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carrier Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Carrier Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carrier Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carrier Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carrier Stock Drops. AI Wasnt Enough to Save Earnings. - Barrons

Carrier Global Fundamentals Growth

Carrier Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carrier Global, and Carrier Global fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carrier Stock performance.

About Carrier Global Performance

By analyzing Carrier Global's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Carrier Global's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Carrier Global has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Carrier Global has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Carrier Global Corporation provides heating, ventilating, and air conditioning , refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. CARRIER GLBL operates under Building Products Equipment classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 56000 people.

Things to note about Carrier Global performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carrier Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carrier Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carrier Stock Drops. AI Wasnt Enough to Save Earnings. - Barrons
Evaluating Carrier Global's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Carrier Global's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Carrier Global's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carrier Global's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Carrier Global's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Carrier Global's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carrier Global's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carrier Global's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carrier Global's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Carrier Global's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Carrier Global's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Carrier Stock analysis

When running Carrier Global's price analysis, check to measure Carrier Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carrier Global is operating at the current time. Most of Carrier Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carrier Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carrier Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carrier Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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